Since 2008, in response to the financial crisis, the Chinese renminbi (RMB) has been pegged at about 6.82 to the US dollar. On the evening of Saturday, June 19th, the Chinese government announced a return to pre-crisis monetary policies which allowed for greater flexibility in the value of the RMB against the dollar. Monday morning saw proponents of immediate revaluation wishing for a little less conversation and a little more action as the Chinese government left Monday morning exchange rates unchanged from Friday’s value of RMB6.8275. China will now determine its exchange rate with reference to a basket of currencies, but the authorities have not given any hints as to what the new currency regime will be.
While the RMB initially surged in forwards markets as traders anticipated future appreciation (as much as 3% in the coming year), the currency actually inched downward on Tuesday, followed by a tiny uptick on Wednesday morning. Three days into the unpegged system and it is clear that aside from the yuan’s daily dance, Beijing is primarily interested in keeping its currency valuations relatively stable and that investors’ hopes for a one-way upward appreciation were wishful thinking.
Tags: Asia | Hong Kong